Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-08-13, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Tweezer (16, 6.3 shows)
46 Days (14, 4.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (13, 4.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (13, 5.7 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 5 shows)
Everything's Right (12, 5.3 shows)
Character Zero (10, 5.9 shows)
Piper (10, 6.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 6.3 shows)
Possum (10, 5.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (10, 6.8 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (10, 6.8 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (9, 10.3 shows)
Back on the Train (9, 5.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 7.1 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (9, 6.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 8.2 shows)
Cavern (8, 9.1 shows)
Plasma (8, 10.3 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (8, 13.7 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 14.9 shows)
Maze (8, 6.8 shows)
Reba (8, 8.2 shows)
Wilson (7, 10.3 shows)
Shade (7, 10.9 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (7, 8.6 shows)
555 (7, 12.6 shows)
The Wedge (7, 10.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7.8 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 10.3 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (6, 12.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (6, 9.6 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 10.9 shows)
Ruby Waves (6, 6.8 shows)
Bug (6, 10.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 19% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!


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