Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-08-12, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Ghost (14, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 4.9 shows)
Everything's Right (13, 5.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (13, 4.9 shows)
Possum (11, 5.7 shows)
Piper (10, 6.9 shows)
Twist (10, 5.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 8.3 shows)
Back on the Train (9, 5.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 7.2 shows)
Lonely Trip (9, 8.7 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (9, 10.3 shows)
Plasma (8, 10.3 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (8, 13.8 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 15 shows)
Reba (8, 8.3 shows)
Maze (8, 6.9 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (8, 9.2 shows)
Cavern (8, 9.2 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 10.3 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (7, 8.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7.9 shows)
Shade (7, 11 shows)
The Wedge (7, 11 shows)
Wilson (7, 10.3 shows)
More (6, 9.2 shows)
Bug (6, 11 shows)
The Lizards (6, 16.5 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (6, 12.7 shows)
Ruby Waves (6, 6.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 9.2 shows)
Rift (6, 10.3 shows)
The Howling (6, 9.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (6, 9.7 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 11 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 12.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!


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